Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.439897 1.641409 1.860673 2.116942 2.408240 2.729072 3.109282
2025-11-02 1.117687 1.389780 1.711887 2.121234 2.627664 3.233839 4.014961
2025-11-09 0.916201 1.210103 1.578983 2.075799 2.727585 3.553972 4.682382
2025-11-16 0.796208 1.105011 1.511636 2.086000 2.876628 3.927411 5.431903
2025-11-23 0.711587 1.030992 1.469464 2.114954 3.041325 4.323839 6.237162
2025-11-30 0.631869 0.951561 1.407140 2.103168 3.140129 4.629270 6.934196
2025-12-07 0.558446 0.871298 1.332654 2.061868 3.186091 4.855499 7.527954
2025-12-14 0.492799 0.794579 1.253975 2.003359 3.195947 5.022694 8.039783
2025-12-21 0.445176 0.740225 1.202923 1.980291 3.254678 5.264151 8.681276
2025-12-28 0.423373 0.724611 1.210381 2.049426 3.463759 5.755363 9.760316
2026-01-04 0.385575 0.678394 1.163339 2.023406 3.512221 5.987902 10.428956
2026-01-11 0.365786 0.660668 1.161534 2.072409 3.689426 6.445227 11.512596
2026-01-18 0.332984 0.620066 1.122247 2.062584 3.781586 6.796184 12.501207
2026-01-25 0.304770 0.585316 1.090880 2.065912 3.901925 7.216028 13.672646
2026-02-01 0.273586 0.541187 1.037354 2.021683 3.928479 7.466681 14.553963
2026-02-08 0.253164 0.515144 1.014287 2.031619 4.056417 7.913906 15.848278
2026-02-15 0.237120 0.495784 1.001663 2.059823 4.221346 8.444810 17.355795
2026-02-22 0.218372 0.468764 0.971023 2.048342 4.305084 8.823868 18.595557
2026-03-01 0.198711 0.437600 0.928709 2.008112 4.325090 9.075915 19.597530
2026-03-08 0.179584 0.405427 0.880938 1.951118 4.303419 9.239107 20.426394
2026-03-15 0.165498 0.382723 0.850787 1.928648 4.352808 9.553906 21.609939
2026-03-22 0.160105 0.378925 0.861030 1.995992 4.605515 10.325552 23.873186
2026-03-29 0.147904 0.358133 0.831575 1.970646 4.647159 10.639135 25.135101